While I fill out a ballot each year to try and predict the winners, I like to keep a side-ballot of the Top Six awards, selecting the nominees I want to win. Here’s a quick rundown of what I’d like to happen vs. what I think will happen.
Call Me by Your Name
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
What I want to win: This is a toss-up between Get Out and Three Billboards. They are, hands down, my two favorite nominated films this year. I think I’m going to say Three Billboards. It was truly fantastic.
What I think will win: Three Billboards. I’ve just got a hunch.
Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk
Jordan Peele, Get Out
Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird
Paul Thomas Anderson, Phantom Thread
Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water
Who I want to win: Jordan Peele, because Get Out was so unique, so layered and so subtle. It is truly a brilliant film that makes viewers think differently by the end of it.
Who I think will win: Guillermo del Toro. In fairness, The Shape of Water is fascinating and enjoyable, but I thought Get Out was better because of the director.
Best Actress in a Leading Role
Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Margot Robbie, I, Tonya
Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird
Meryl Streep, The Post
Who I want to win: Of the performances I saw, Frances McDormand brought so much into her character that I can’t imagine anyone else playing her role. Sally Hawkins was great, too, evoking so much emotion without using her voice, but I gotta go with Frances.
Who I think will win: Frances McDormand.
Best Actor in a Leading Role
Timothée Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name
Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread
Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out
Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
Denzel Washington, Roman J. Israel, Esq.
Who I want to win: This is a tough one. I loved Gary Oldman, but Daniel Kaluuya carried a pretty deep movie with a strong performance of his own.
Who I think will win: Gary Oldman. And he would deserve it.
Best Actress in a Supporting Role
Mary J. Blige, Mudbound
Allison Janney, I, Tonya
Lesley Manville, Phantom Thread
Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water
Who I want to win: Based on the performances I saw, it’s between Lesley Manville and Laurie Metcalf. Both were fantastic, but I’ll go with Metcalf. Her character juggled many emotions throughout Lady Bird and Metcalf played her perfectly.
Who I think will win: Laurie Metcalf. But wouldn’t be surprised to see Lesley Manville win.
Best Actor in a Supporting Role
Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
Woody Harrelson, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water
Christopher Plummer, All the Money in the World
Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Who I want to win: Richard Jenkins and Woody Harrelson were great. Harrelson might even win it were it not for one problem: Sam Rockwell blew everyone else out of the water. Rockwell gets my vote.
Who I think will win: Sam Rockwell. No question.