…and the oscar goes to: my picks for tonight’s oscars.

0305_oscarBEST PICTURE
Arrival
Fences
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell or High Water
Hidden Figures
La La Land
Lion
Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight

If I had a vote…
Lion. No question. A truly beautiful film in every way.

What the Academy will choose
La La Land and I will puke my guts out if they do. It’s not a bad film, but kindly spare us the self-congratulatory BS, please and thanks.

BEST DIRECTOR
Denis Villeneuve – Arrival
Mel Gibson – Hacksaw Ridge
Damien Chazelle – La La Land
Kenneth Lonergan – Manchester by the Sea
Barry Jenkins – Moonlight

If I had a vote…
Off this list? Barry Jenkins. He took chances in how the story was constructed. And those chances paid off in creating an emotional movie.

Whom the Academy will choose
Damien Chazelle. Why, because he used a damn crane to shoot a musical number on a traffic-jammed LA highway? Oooooh, so edgy!

BEST ACTOR
Casey Affleck – Manchester by the Sea
Andrew Garfield – Hacksaw Ridge
Ryan Gosling – La La Land
Viggo Mortensen – Captain Fantastic
Denzel Washington – Fences

If I had a vote…
This is a bit of a tough one, but I’d go with Denzel. The fact that I hated his character is a testament to how captivating he was to watch.

Whom the Academy will choose
Denzel Washington. They got it right if they go this route.

BEST ACTRESS
Isabelle Huppert – Elle
Ruth Negga – Loving
Natalie Portman – Jackie
Emma Stone – La La Land
Meryl Streep – Florence Foster Jenkins

If I had a vote…
In the interest of full disclosure, I’ve only seen one of these performances (Emma Stone). However, I did see a few clips of Jackie, so my vote goes to Natalie Portman for stone-cold NAILING it as Jackie Kennedy.

Whom the Academy will choose
Is this the year Meryl Streep wins again? I think so.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Mahershala Ali – Moonlight
Jeff Bridges – Hell or High Water
Lucas Hedges – Manchester by the Sea
Dev Patel – Lion
Michael Shannon – Nocturnal Animals

If I had a vote…
As much as I think Ben Foster deserves to be on this list, I’m confined to these five choices. It’s a real toss-up, but I’ll go with Dev Patel. I really liked Mahershala Ali as well, but Patel’s performance was really perfect.

Whom the Academy will choose
Dev Patel. Just got a feeling on this one.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Viola Davis – Fences
Naomie Harris – Moonlight
Nicole Kidman – Lion
Octavia Spencer – Hidden Figures
Michelle Williams – Manchester by the Sea

If I had a vote…
Naomie Harris would get my vote, definitely. Her performance in Moonlight brought out so much in the story. She’s not getting enough recognition for her work in this movie, if you ask me.

Whom the Academy will choose
Probably Viola Davis. And I can’t really argue against that.

A Couple More…Just for Fun
Because I enjoy the writing awards, here are my predictions for those Oscars.

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Hell or High Water – Taylor Sheridan
La La Land – Damien Chazelle
The Lobster – Yorgos Lanthimos, Efthimis Filippou
Manchester by the Sea – Kenneth Lonergan
20th Century Women – Mike Mills

If I had a vote…
I haven’t seen The Lobster, but it sounds intriguing. And I’m going to make that my choice (because I like weird, original stuff…even if I haven’t seen or read it!).

Whom the Academy will choose
They’re going to pick La La Land, I shall commence puking my guts out.

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Arrival
Fences
Hidden Figures
Lion
Moonlight

If I had a vote…
Arrival. It’s a complex, deep story that holds your interest and keeps you thinking well after the fact. I loved Lion, too, but I’m going with Arrival.

Whom the Academy will choose
My bet: Hidden Figures. Honestly, they’re all pretty great, so I can’t argue against it.

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