Just finished watching all seven seasons of The West Wing, so that’s probably why I’m in a politico state of mind just now. I’m also out canvassing for candidates ahead of the upcoming mid-term elections, so there’s that, too. Yeah, this is the first time I’ve ever actually done any real work on a political campaign.
Anyway, it got me to thinking about the 2020 presidential election. We have no idea who the Democrats will run two years from now, but I’m betting this is the most basic starting point for any deep strategery for either political party.
It takes 270 electoral votes to win a presidential election. According to this map, 152 are up for grabs. Who decided these 152 are undecided? Me. These are the states where neither candidate received at least 50 percent of the popular vote. We already knew the razor thin margins in upper Midwest states like Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, but they’re hardly alone. And they’re all reason for concern for both Democrats and Republicans heading into 2020.
Nobody has a clue how these states are going to play out in two years. After all, did anyone honestly believe in 2006 that Indiana would turn blue in 2008? A lot can and likely will happen between now and then. If my view of these 152 toss-up electoral votes holds true, there’s one nightmare scenario that could play out on Tuesday, Nov. 3:
That’s right. A tie. If that happens, The Nightmare Scenario is unlocked and the presidency and vice presidency are both left to Congress to decide the winners. Think about that for a moment.
Sure, it might be a million-to-one shot that the voting plays out this way. But do you really want to leave your vote to chance like this? That’s why it’s important you vote in the upcoming mid-term election on Tuesday, Nov. 6.
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